Grand Canyon River Outfitters Association
Mark Grisham, executive director
Equal Suffering Is Not the Answer
The Solution is Reasonable Access
With cheery optimism and some foreboding, NPS planners at the South Rim have
embarked on a two-year revision of the Colorado River Management Plan.
The kick-off, three public workshops held in cities hundreds of miles apart
yet populated by substantially the same people, are now behind us. Many of the folks I
spoke with privates, outfitters, and park personnel alike were heartened by
the obvious desire on the part of many to join in a diligent search for something better.
In this spirit, Grand Canyon River Outfitters Association would like to offer
one possible outline for an improved private river-trip permit process based on a
reservations model. We believe there are management tools that if used correctly can
produce a rough parity of access to the Colorado River corridor between the outfitted and
boating publics alike. Producing this condition should be a central and primary goal of
the CRMP revision.
To be clear, we believe that the current allocation split between the
outfitted and private boating publics is a more than fair representation of the size of
these two user groups within the general population. We oppose reallocation. We do so
particularly given our belief that better management of existing private trip demand can
produce reasonable access to the Colorado River corridor within the Grand Canyon for those
seeking this type of experience.
Fundamental Conditions
There are several immutable conditions with which all possible management
options contemplated under the CRMP revision must contend. Here are just a few.
Demand for both commercial and private Grand Canyon river trips will continue
to exceed, as it has for years, the supply provided by the current recreational use
allocation caps.
The wait to obtain a private trip permit is unacceptably long. This year, the
number of new applicants added to the list was double the number who can be awarded a
permit. This is obviously an untenable situation.
Setting aside for a moment the question of impact to other potential canyon
users who have an equal right of access, even a massive reallocation of user-days to the
private trip program would not solve the waiting list problem. Even a doubling of the
private allocation, an unlikely scenario, would still leave a wait in excess of several
years.
In the Face of Overwhelming Demand
So, where to go from here? A good place to start is with the realization that
in a highly regulated system like that used at the Grand Canyon, demand can never be
satisfied. It can only be managed.
Could the outfitters sell more river trips to the public? Of course. Why then
can the outfitted public get on the river with only a reasonable amount of planning?
Heres the answer. The outfitters and the National Park Service have
learned over the years how to successfully manage the demand for commercial trips. It is a
dangerous misconception to conclude that commercial demand is lacking because of the
commercial passengers relatively speedy access to the river.
A key to this successful management is the fact that only those who are ready
to commit to specific trip dates and willing to put a sizeable portion of their good money
down are allowed to lock up trip space, thus depriving others of that space. This is not
the case on the private side.
The Waiting List Is Now Self-Generating
On the private side, the already lengthy waiting list breeds an
ever-lengthening waiting list. The fact that a list exists motivates people to get on the
list. Everyone knows that lots of people are on the private waiting list who may not now
be able, ready, or qualified to actually be a trip leader on a Grand Canyon private river
trip. But many of these people have been encouraged to get in line by the very design of
the current system.
Theres a game to be played so naturally people play the game. People
get on the list to hedge their bets. As several private permit applicants freely admitted
at the CRMP public workshops, folks who want a permit not only put their own names on the
waiting list, they get their family members and friends on the list. They do so in an
attempt to give themselves more options than they would otherwise have under existing
regulations.
This dynamic alone creates one of the current systems most fundamental
problems. Now, essentially the same group of people is able and motivated to occupy
multiple places in the line. This clogs the system and denies more ready access to those
privates less motivated to play the game.
How many of the sixty-eight hundred names currently on the private waiting
list actually represent basically the same group of boaters? The National Park Service
wont tell us. They probably dont even know themselves. However, the available
anecdotal evidence on this point is strong, and was recently re-enforced by the comments
of many CRMP workshop participants.
And now, in a very dangerous development, the waiting list itself has been
transformed by government into a significant revenue generator. The more people on the
list and the longer they wait, the more money the government collects. Theres a lot
wrong with this picture.
Challenges, Challenges
Three distinct yet inter-related challenges await anyone trying to design a
better private permit management system.
First, we need to recognize that the current system is fundamentally flawed
and cannot be repaired. A completely new system must be designed. It must be
user-friendly, self-supporting, and readily administrable using available resources.
Second, a fair means of transitioning to whatever new system is chosen must
be devised. This will not be easy and could in fact prove to be the most daunting aspect
of implementing any new private permit management system.
Consider the fact that even if the current waiting list were closed today to
new applications, it would take upwards of ten years to provide those already in line with
a permit. If the park and the public are not willing to examine meaningful ways to
confront this hard reality, all interested parties might as well simply suspend this
discussion and bide their time for the next CRMP revision to take place in a decade or so.
One component of a fair transition might be the need for the NPS to refund
(gasp!) fees already paid by private boaters. As we all know, the government is loath to
actually give the peoples money back.
Third, that which is currently working well, namely the management system
that governs the commercial side of the rivers recreational use allocation, must not
be impaired in an attempt to fix problems.
Like private boaters, the outfitted public care deeply about the Grand Canyon
and will be actively involved in the CRMP revision process. The outfitted public (those
who have completed and those now contemplating a commercial trip) is a sizable group and
is populated by many active involved citizens from all over the country.
These folks are imbued with a shared identity and constitute a potentially
potent political force that will not stand idly by if their current rights and
opportunities are brought into question.
Equal Suffering Is Not the Answer
I was astonished to hear repeatedly at the CRMP public workshops several
self-described private boaters discuss their contentment with having to wait for a river
trip, as long as everyone has to wait equally. But where is it written that unreasonable
waits to get on the river are necessary, even in light of the obvious heavy demand for
both commercial and private trips?
An attempt to produce equal suffering between commercial and private boaters
is not the answer to the CRMP revision. A much better goal is reasonable access to the
river corridor for all who desire the Grand Canyon river experience.
The Reservations-Based Management Model
Providing reasonable access for commercial and private river users alike is
possible. All it takes is a move to proper management of the existing demand for private
permits and a move away from the current self-generating waiting list system. Grand Canyon
River Outfitters Association suggests a reservations-based management model.
A key component of this system is the opportunity afforded to all
participants to join a track of groups that would advance forward along the
calendar as cancellations and scheduling opportunities provide movement toward the
present. A track is simply the list of all other trips of identical group size ordered by
the date each reservation was made.
Another key to greater access under this approach is the provision to allow
for multiple private launches per day of smaller groups within the overall daily launch
limit. This is how the commercial side works.
For example, on any launch day one group of sixteen (or whatever number the
private group size limitation ends up being), two groups of eight, or any combination of
groups that would total sixteen passengers could launch. Multiple launches would have to
be controlled with some restrictions, however, to limit on-river group contacts and
congestion and to maintain resource protection and visitor experience goals.
Because a greater number of smaller groups could launch within overall use
limits, smaller groups would move forward along their track at a faster pace than larger
groups, producing quicker access to the river. Smaller groups are easier to schedule than
larger groups as there are naturally more spaces on the calendar where a small group would
fit.
How the Reservations Model Would Work
The private trip applicant would contact the private trip reservationist to
tentatively schedule the next available launch date (or if they chose, a launch date
farther out in the future) for a specific group of participants and an announced trip
duration.
Receipt of a list of all the groups members and the required trip
deposit within an accepted travel industry timeframe such as ten to fifteen days would
confirm the reservation. If trip deposits and the list of trip participants was not
received on time, the reservation would be purged from the system to free up space for
other bookings.
Under this system, the trip leader concept is abolished. No longer would the
groups fortunes rise and fall with the fortunes of the original permit applicant.
An individual either as the applicant or simply as a member of a group could
only hold one trip reservation at a time. Each person waiting to do a trip would be
afforded a single place on the launch calendar.
A reasonable level of substitutions of group participants would be allowed up
until the trips launch. But a transaction cost would be imposed to swap
participants.
This would provide a disincentive for booking until all the groups
participants were fully committed to the trip and would help prevent bookings well out
into the future. Also the bulk of the original participants would be required to launch
with the trip to receive the permit. This requirement would prevent speculation in private
trip permits.
At the time of booking, the applicant would inform the reservationist if the
first available launch date was acceptable or if they wished to join their track. Doing so
would place the reservation in a moving queue of trip reservations advancing toward the
present.
As each track moved forward, each reservation within that track would move
forward. Cancelled permits (except perhaps those cancelled at the very last minute) would
be used to advance the tracks.
Each applicant who placed themselves in a track would also be afforded the
opportunity to specify a desired launch window. If that window was reached by the forward
movement of the applicants track, the applicants group would automatically be
awarded the first available launch date within the specified window on the calendar. The
applicant would then have the choice whether or not to accept the new, more recent launch
date or to stick with the original launch date first confirmed when the reservation was
made.
The balance of the trip fees would be due at the time of final confirmation
of the groups launch date. Trips canceling after this date would forfeit their fees.
There would be no yearly fee collection and no need to indicate continuing
interest.
An occasional newsletter could inform all customers of various trends
associated with the speed of the various tracts and other relevant information. The
Internet could also be used to provide information and a means for each group to check its
status.
Finally, a fully staffed reservation office utilizing an advanced
computerized reservation system would enable a much higher degree of user-friendliness and
applicant satisfaction with the system.
Expected Results
The reservations model is designed to allow greater access to the river for
those applicants who are actually ready to put a trip on the water. It provides
disincentives for those not ready to go but who are motivated under the current system to
pay twenty-five dollars a year to stand in line.
This system would guarantee everyone who wishes to accompany a trip down the
canyon a known launch date and more options for scheduling the actually desired launch
date than currently exist. The system would prevent the now common practice whereby
essentially the same group of boaters occupies multiple places on the waiting list in an
attempt to generate future trip options. In return, it offers much more ready access to
the river.
Only those ready to commit to a trip with known dates and known
participants and willing to put down trip deposits would be likely to apply for a
permit. Less people applying for a permit in the near term would produce greater access
for those ready to go now.
The costs associated with less than fully committed applications would be
high. Thus potential applicants who need to wait until conditions are right for their trip
would be discouraged from clogging the system while they wait. More ready access would
provide people with assurance that they would no longer have to get on a list to make
possible a trip at some distant point in the future; people would no longer be forced to
hedge their bets.
What would happen on the commercial side if at the end of each trip the
participants were informed that if they were considering another trip sometime in the next
ten years, they had better get on a waiting list now? People would say, Hey,
Im not quite sure of my plans but I want to preserve the option for a future trip
someday. Id better get on the list just in case.
And almost overnight, a huge commercial waiting list and a tremendous
roadblock to ready access to the river would be created.
This has happened on the private side. The waiting list has become a
self-generating, unwieldy barrier to ready access to the river. The current management
scheme and all of its attendant annoyances an unreasonably long waiting list,
annual fees, continuing interest notification requirements, limited sign-up windows
should be abolished.
There are better alternatives. While many details remain to be worked out, a
private trip reservations-based model holds great promise in the effort to provide
reasonable access to the Grand Canyon river experience for both commercial and private
trip participants alike.
GCROA, the non-profit trade association of the 16 Grand Canyon Outfitters,
can be reached at: P.O. Box 22189 Flagstaff, AZ 86002, 520-556-0669, gcroa@gcroa.com |